Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 6.948232 7.651667 8.402240 9.263860 10.227052 11.272233 12.494384
2025-11-09 5.694425 6.643869 7.725154 9.052500 10.644467 12.500379 14.839417
2025-11-16 4.831662 5.915078 7.218261 8.912012 11.070780 13.750966 17.362648
2025-11-23 4.216812 5.378686 6.843403 8.844058 11.534344 15.067576 20.126760
2025-11-30 3.835212 5.073489 6.701317 9.026776 12.310663 16.853590 23.739605
2025-12-07 3.443865 4.700379 6.412914 8.956807 12.707156 18.140833 26.810455
2025-12-14 3.082853 4.323702 6.069148 8.752834 12.863859 19.072901 29.452897
2025-12-21 2.826052 4.064374 5.858018 8.706071 13.229332 20.336417 32.762844
2025-12-28 2.675293 3.942157 5.830037 8.923646 14.014990 22.335392 37.554297
2026-01-04 2.532022 3.815243 5.778274 9.090542 14.726485 24.285097 42.537335
2026-01-11 2.376077 3.653064 5.653445 9.119926 15.201433 25.875873 47.094443
2026-01-18 2.214829 3.467721 5.473053 9.033718 15.458474 27.099379 51.124045
2026-01-25 2.057793 3.279693 5.277115 8.909856 15.649932 28.255920 55.275301
2026-02-01 1.912243 3.099349 5.079042 8.762736 15.782281 29.319015 59.421122
2026-02-08 1.788116 2.945428 4.913020 8.656293 15.977776 30.528039 64.086530
2026-02-15 1.684888 2.819364 4.784724 8.605864 16.274077 31.974966 69.533412
2026-02-22 1.626147 2.766532 4.781765 8.791355 17.061666 34.547885 78.067945
2026-03-01 1.537134 2.652581 4.657759 8.727858 17.326001 36.024159 84.219721
2026-03-08 1.438296 2.513606 4.476314 8.532063 17.285965 36.813536 88.780236
2026-03-15 1.367240 2.420888 4.374678 8.487843 17.567491 38.371419 95.641490
2026-03-22 1.332412 2.393572 4.396032 8.699895 18.442464 41.448577 107.263088
2026-03-29 1.293855 2.356240 4.394487 8.862407 19.222448 44.406725 119.191730
2026-04-05 1.243213 2.291919 4.334132 8.891148 19.691084 46.650055 129.506075